Ideas that have influenced Osparna. Websites we follow, podcasts we listen to and authors we read. We’ll be publishing this type of posts on no particular schedule. Stay tuned.

 Daniel Kahneman– Daniel Kahneman is Professor of Psychology and Public Affairs Emeritus at the Woodrow Wilson School, the Eugene Higgins Professor of Psychology Emeritus at Princeton University, and a fellow of the Center for Rationality at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem.

Philip E. Tetlock – Philip E. Tetlock is the Leonore Annenberg University Professor of Democracy and Citizenship, Professor of Psychology and Professor of Management. With appointments in the School of Arts & Sciences and the Wharton School, Tetlock works at the intersection of political science, psychology, and management science.

Dan Ariely – James B. Duke Professor of Psychology and Behavioral Economics at Duke University and a founding member of the Center for Advanced Hindsight.

Farnam Street – Farnam Street (FS) helps you master the best of what other people have already figured out.

Overcoming Bias – Decision Theory Remains Neglected – Overcoming Bias began in November ’06 as a group blog on the general theme of how to move our beliefs closer to reality, in the face of our natural biases such as overconfidence and wishful thinking, and our bias to believe we have corrected for such biases, when we have done no such thing.

Kauffman Fellows – Applying Decision Analysis to Venture Investing – Clint Korver, Class ’14. Vinod Khosla once said it takes seven years and $30 million to train a venture capitalist (VC). Failure may be the best teacher, but failure in early-stage investing comes at a high cost. When I started my career in private equity I knew I would have my share of experiential education through failed investments, but I also believed I could shorten my learning curve and—by finding a way to make smarter decisions—possibly limit the tuition costs of becoming a venture investor.

https://hbr.org/2020/07/emerging-from-the-crisis#learning-from-the-future – The pandemic has dramatically changed the world we know. Here’s how leaders can chart a course for their organizations and guide their teams through tumultuous times.

https://hbr.org/podcast/2020/07/future-proofing-your-strategy-with-scenario-planning – A conversation with consultant Peter Scoblic on scenario planning lessons from the U.S. Coast Guard.